💰 Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor) — Economic Burden of Disease

Population 367,730 · Urban college county · July 2026 · CDC WONDER 2020–22 · age-standardized

$3.93B
Human-capital loss / yr
63,379 DALYs × $62,000 MI GDP/capita
$17.2B
VSL economic burden / yr
≈1,635 deaths × $10.5M income-adjusted VSL
63,379
DALYs / yr
YLL 32,670 + YLD 30,709
$10,686
HC burden per resident / yr
$3.93B ÷ 367,730 residents
Scope note. The AI & digital-health interventions below are illustrative "low-hanging fruit" — a small, high-feasibility sample chosen to demonstrate planning-grade ROI. They are not exhaustive or prescriptive, and every figure is a planning estimate, not a guaranteed return.

Economic burden by condition — Human-Capital method

Annual productivity loss = DALYs × $62,000 Michigan GDP per capita

ConditionDALYs/yrHC burden/yrShare
Cancer17,305$1.07B27.3%
CVD (heart disease)15,286$948M24.1%
Substance use12,140$753M19.2%
Mental health7,647$474M12.1%
COPD4,544$282M7.2%
Stroke4,331$268M6.8%
Diabetes2,126$132M3.4%
Total63,379$3.93B100%

Each averted DALY ≈ $62,000 of recovered productivity — the arithmetic basis for grant, employer, and health-system partnerships. VSL burden ($17.2B) is the willingness-to-pay standard used in federal cost-benefit analysis (HHS/EPA/DOT) and captures mortality only.

Illustrative intervention ROI

Planning-grade "low-hanging fruit" for an Ann Arbor-profile county (cancer-led, high student mental-health load)

Cancer early-detection outreach

100–300 DALYs/yr

Targeted screening reminders (AI-triaged) for the highest-burden cancers. At $62K/DALY, recovering even 200 DALYs ≈ $12.4M/yr of productivity vs modest program cost.

Campus & young-adult mental-health triage

$474M pool

Mental health is 12% of burden with a large student denominator. Digital screening + stepped-care routing addresses YLD directly.

Overdose prevention (naloxone + MOUD)

$753M pool

133 substance-use deaths/yr. Even a 10% reduction in SUD YLL is worth several $M/yr in averted productivity loss.

Turn this burden profile into a funded plan

Lakes Linked builds county-specific, grant-ready burden analyses and intervention ROI models.

📬 Request a county engagement

Planning-grade estimate — not a peer-reviewed study, official GBD estimate, or audited fiscal projection. See the methods & data-quality notes. Rates are not comparable across the site's two method generations.